Category: Foreign Policy

  • CNN: Donald Trump — keeper of promises

    Yesterday, President Trump honored another campaign promise – he announced that the US would move our embassy in Israel to Jerusalem. Of course, the media expressed their surprise that he would do what he said he’d do. In CNN, Stephen Collinson writes, you know, how dare he?

    So far, the President has not paid a tangible price for living up to his most controversial promises. But he is taking big risks, especially internationally, and a reckoning may yet come.

    Washington has yet to learn whether the backlash among its allies over Trump’s latest declaration will leave it alone in an hour of need. Anyway, Trump supporters who believe in his America First concept care little that the President is infuriating the country’s friends around the world.

    Several previous presidents have promised to do this, but they didn’t have the political courage to actually do it. Mostly, they wouldn’t do it because of their fear of the violence that it would cause in Jerusalem and around the Middle East – essentially, our policy was held hostage to terrorism. By not recognizing Israel’s capital, we acquiesced to that threat of terrorism, the terrorists won.

    There is a reason Trump was breaking ground on Jerusalem: Previous presidents judged that the political capital they could gain with a similar move was not justified by the risks. Those have included concerns of inciting Middle East violence or offending Palestinians by prejudging final status peace talks on Jerusalem, a city they also regard as their future capital.

    The fate of Americans abroad — easy targets in any violent backlash in the Middle East — also weighs heavily on presidential consciences. Trump decided to take the risk anyway.

    Critics might also point out that Trump’s list of promises kept is an incomplete and politically expedient one.

    If Americans die as a result of this particular Trump mandate, it’s not his fault – it’s fault of whoever pulls the trigger or flips the switch. Why do we have to concede our foreign policy decisions to the mindless violence that drives the extremists of that region?

    CNN should stick to criticizing Trump’s Twitter feed and leave policy to the grown ups.

  • Guest Post; Sometimes You Hack the Bear; Sometimes the Bear Hacks You

    Our buddy and homeboy, John Ready sends us this guest post;

    OK, so now we’ve got another country hacking into the federal government’s so-called “secure” information systems. This time it’s apparently individuals allied with Russia, and the target was the National Security Agency itself. The juggernaut that is supposed to protect us, and which receives stupid amounts of our tax money to accomplish that, has had its secrets pilfered.

    Nice job…

    As if the theft of Personally Identifiable Information (PII) from the Office of Personnel Management-the government’s Human Resources department-wasn’t catastrophic enough. I mean, it’s not like 23 million past, present, and future government employees (like Yours Truly), had their sensitive information extracted by the Chinese military. Approximately 5 million of those individuals had their digitized fingerprints stolen; many of those are intelligence operatives and undercover officers. Now, they risk being unmasked by whomever buys their prints on the black market. Worse, they could be targeted with assassination, you know from the bad guys they are trying to fight.

    With all of that still fresh in our memories, you’d think that those tasked with protecting our secrets would be more vigilant. Sadly, that’s what I get for trusting people to do the right thing.

    Back in 2010, the first digital weapon was unleashed. It came to be known as Stuxnet. It was brilliant in its sophistication, and how it targeted its victim-the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, Iran-with laser-like focus. It took a while for security experts to determine its origin, but it was finally traced to a joint NSA-Israeli partnership.

    Stuxnet was the digital equivalent of a pre-emptive airstrike. It was developed solely for the purpose of causing physical damage to Iran’s centrifuges, while allowing the US and Israel the ability to deny their involvement. You see, Israel doesn’t take kindly to its neighbors building anything remotely nuclear, whether it’s weapons or reactors. I can’t say I blame them; you don’t know what a nuclear facility’s true purpose is until there’s a mushroom cloud over Tel Aviv.

    In the past, the Israelis bombed reactors in Iraq and Syria. This time, President Obama convinced Benjamin Netanyahu that the strike should be more discreet, so as not to cause more unrest in the Middle East. So, the two nations collaborated on the weaponized worm we now know as Stuxnet.

    However, the department within NSA, dubbed Tailored Access Operations (TAO: Oh, how very clever!) responsible for developing Stuxnet has now been hacked itself, and a good chunk of its digital weaponry pilfered, this time by some folks in Russia. The perpetrators call themselves “The Shadow Brokers.” The NSA is supposed to be the brain trust, staffed with brilliant technicians and programmers.

    Here’s an example of just how “brilliant” these folks are. An NSA employee took a number of documents home with him. He copied them to his “personal home computer, so that he could refer to them while he tweaked his resume.” Besides being a violation of agency rules, it was also against the law. The employee’s PC was running Kaspersky Lab, antivirus software developed in Russia, and installed on computers across the globe. Investigators have long supposed that this software company was in collusion with Russian hackers, and that there was a back-door installed, through which they could directly access his data…sorry, OUR data.

    You’d think that there would be increased vigilance, knowing that the rest of the world understands that we are capable of developing Stuxnet and its variants.

    The Shadow Brokers are now selling these digital weapons-paid for with our tax dollars-on the Black Market. The prices on some of these weapons are very high. This means that only parties which have that large amounts of capital, such as a rogue nation like North Korea, could unleash them on the United States, all the while claiming innocence, since the origin of the attack could be masked.

    Some of these digital weapons have now been turned on two of our country’s allies: Britain and the Ukraine. The implications of this theft are dire. Instead of the Ukraine having its power grid taken down for long periods, it could be us. Such an attack could mimic the Northeast Power Outage in August 2003, which lasted for three days. What’s more, if the attack took out certain sections of the grid, it could cause an even more widespread outage.

    Bad, see also: Not good.

    As for the NSA employee who took the family jewels off the reservation, he won’t need a resume for his next job. He just needs to practice his new spiel:

    “Would you like fries with that?”

  • Robert Mugabe under “house arrest”

    According to BBC, Zimbabwe’s socialist president Robert Mugabe has been placed under house arrest by the country’s military;

    Troops are patrolling the capital, Harare, after they seized state TV and said they were targeting “criminals”.

    The move may be a bid to replace Mr Mugabe with his sacked deputy, Emmerson Mnangagwa, BBC correspondents say.

    Mr Mnangagwa’s dismissal last week left Mr Mugabe’s wife Grace as the president’s likely successor.

    Heavy gun and artillery fire could be heard in northern parts of Harare early on Wednesday.

    Mr Mugabe, 93, has dominated the impoverished country’s political scene since it gained independence from the UK in 1980.

    The UK’s Telegraph published a statement from the Army;

    “It is not a military takeover of government,” an army spokesman said in a televised statement. “We wish to assure the nation that his excellency the president… and his family are safe and sound and their security is guaranteed.

    “We are only targeting criminals around him who are committing crimes that are causing social and economic suffering in the country in order to bring them to justice.

    “As soon as we have accomplished our mission we expect that the situation will return to normalcy.”

    They should have removed Mugabe thirty years ago, sometime before unemployment reached 90%, but better late than never.

    It seems that this whole thing was an attempt to prevent Mugabe’s wife, Grace, from becoming president instead of the constitutional Vice President Mnangagwa who fled the country last week but he has returned to take office as President after the military stabilized conditions.

  • Venezuela prepares for war with US

    Venezuela prepares for war with US

    Typically, President Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela, has alerted his military to prepare for a war with the United States, according to Newsweek after President Trump’s administration has banned lending money to Venezuelan government borrowers and the state-owned oil company and passed sanctions against public officials;

    “We have been shamelessly threatened by the most criminal empire that ever existed and we have the obligation to prepare ourselves to guarantee peace,” said Maduro, who wore a green uniform and a military hat as he spoke with his army top brass during a military exercise involving tanks and missiles. “We need to have rifles, missiles and well-oiled tanks at the ready….to defend every inch of the territory if needs be,” he added.

    It’s a page from the Hugo Chavez book, blaming everything bad about the country’s descent into financial ruin on the United States – it couldn’t be communism that is the reason for Venezuela’s soaring inflation and mismanagement of resources.

    The Russians, of course, are doing their level best to interfere;

    Russia has defended Maduro in recent months, going so far as to accuse Trump of preparing for an invasion of Caracas. “We are strongly against unilateral sanctions against sovereign states,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said in August.

    Yeah, they can all take a breath. I can’t imagine the US making any military moves against Maduro’s government.

  • Venezuela’s Cabello orders Rubio’s assassination

    Venezuela’s Cabello orders Rubio’s assassination

    Newsweek reports that an assassination order was issued by former Venezuelan military chief, Diosdado Cabello, to deal with outspoken US Senator Marco Rubio;

    There has been no comment from Rubio on the threat, nor suggestions as to why Rubio was targeted. However, the senator has been an outspoken voice from within the U.S. on Venezuela, and in particular on Cabello, whom Rubio has referred to as “the Pablo Escobar of Venezuela,” while Cabello, in turn, has referred to Rubio as “Narco Rubio.”

    From the Miami Herald;

    The death threat was outlined in a memo to several law enforcement agencies disseminated last month by the Department of Homeland Security. The memo, designated “law enforcement sensitive” but not classified, was obtained by the Miami Herald.

    The memo revealed an “order to have Senator Rubio assassinated,” though it also warned that “no specific information regarding an assassination plot against Senator Rubio has been garnered thus far” and that the U.S. had not been able to verify the threat. That Cabello has been a vocal Rubio critic in Venezuelan media was also noted, a sign federal authorities are well aware of the political bluster complicating the situation.

    According to the Herald, Cabello might have tried to contract certain Mexican assets to complete the order. The Herald also reported that Rubio’s personal security detail has been beefed up recently.

  • No, Trump didn’t say he was invading Venezuela

    No, Trump didn’t say he was invading Venezuela

    The internet is freaking out because the President said that he wasn’t ruling out military options in regards to Venezuela. That is to say, that he’s probably not ruling out military options in regards to Belize or Belgium, either. We don’t have problems with Belize or Belgium, but, you can bet that if there were problems, there is probably a plan for a military option in some file cabinet in the Pentagon somewhere.

    But, back to Venezuela, the Washington Post wrote;

    Late Friday, the White House announced that Maduro had requested a phone call with Trump that day and that Trump had turned him down, saying that he will not speak to the leader until “democracy is restored in that country.”

    “Since the start of this Administration, President Trump has asked that Maduro respect Venezuela’s constitution, hold free and fair elections, release political prisoners, cease all human rights violations, and stop oppressing Venezuela’s great people,” the White House said in a statement late Friday night. “The Maduro regime has refused to heed this call, which has been echoed around the region and the world. Instead Maduro has chosen the path of dictatorship.”

    CNN records the Venezuelan response;

    Venezuelan Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino called Trump’s talk of possible military action a “crazy act.”

    “As Minister of Defense and as a citizen I say this is a crazy act, an act of supreme extremism,” Padrino said via phone on state-owned television network VTV.
    “There is an extremist elite in the US government,” he added, “and I really don’t know what is happening and what will happen in the world. If humanity will end. If planet Earth will end.”

    The president of Venezuela’s new Constituent Assembly — the controversial body elected to rewrite the Venezuelan Constitution amid the country’s political crisis — fired off a series of tweets late Friday slamming Trump’s remarks as “cowardly, insolent and vile threats.”

    Yeah, the Venezuela Bolivarian government has been hoping for a US invasion since the GWB/Chavez years – something that they can blame their troubles on besides their empty socialist ideology.

    The Pentagon isn’t admitting that they’ve made preparations to invade Venezuela. I’m sure they have a plan, somewhere that they can dust off and put into the works.

    What the Trump administration has done is slap sanctions on Venezuela when Maduro held suspicious elections to replace the opposition legislature with 500 of his supporters. That and he wouldn’t take Maduro’s phone call. Hardly a warning for war.

  • Don’t Weep For Me, Venezuela….

    Sorry, couldn’t resist that line.

    This morning’s news about Venezuela is that the people of Venezuela did not want the 1999 constitution replaced by Maduro’s rule.  That was what their election was supposed to address.

    It did not go the way they had hoped.  In some places, voters were blocked from the polls altogether.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/30/fear-of-violence-hangs-over-venezuela-assembly-election

    And now we have to worry about what is going to happen in that country. If the Venezuelans in general are as vocal as they seem to be about how much they detest Maduro and his attempts at dictatorship, then it’s logical to start asking if this is going to be another episode like Peron, Pinochet or Allende, where people just disappear….

    This is several decades after those attempts to install Marxist governments, and both Chile and Argentina have settled down. Some of my winter fruits and veggies come from Chile and I have wine from the Rapel Valley. Good stuff.  Chile has become a mecca for skibums and snow bunnies. This simply shows that a free market economy will make a country prosper.

    But this disquiet in Venezuela does not look good. I hope our people have been evacuated from Caracas, and that these riots do not result in wholesale destruction. It’s unclear how much loyalty the military have for Maduro.  That remains to be seen.

    I can say that when it makes reports at the local news stations, which are frequently dull as a stick, it’s not just another election.

    Maduro has, unless I find otherwise, become Venezuela’s dictator.

    Allende committed suicide after three years.

    I wonder how long Maduro will last.

     

  • Just a few things….

    Macron’s Defense Chief General de Villiers has quit over defense cuts by Macron, to the tune of $980 billion – er, MILLION. I don’t think the French actually have $980 billion unless you count the wines they never sell.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-politics-defence-idUSKBN1A40KR?il=0

    He did say (before it was removed) something about ‘Je sais quand j suis baisée, mais je ne suis pas le stupide’.  If I ever find that quote, I’ll post it. Some bird dog at Reuters removed it. Pfft.

    However, he has been replaced with General Le Cointre:  http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-politics-defence-appointment-idUSKBN1A410O?il=0

    It seems that the stresses on the French military are plus que difficile for the Frogs. They’re not only partnering with allies (US, Jordan, etc.) in the Middle East, but they’re also being used on the home front against jihadis, assisting le gendarmerie, among other things. As this progresses, Macron may find himself in over his head. Tourism in France is a big deal. Threaten the Louvre and you just may be toast.

    As it is, French Foreign Minister LeDrian is asking Qatar to stop funding terrorists and shut down the Al Jazeera network. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-france-idUSKBN1A00EI

    However, the Qatari are refusing to do so, as well as denying that they have anything to do with funding terrorists. (Wasn’t there a computer system named Qatari?)

    Meantime, Russia (Vlad Putin) is still quite annoyed that the US government will not release diplomatic properties it seized in December 2016 in New York and Maryland.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-usa-sanctions-property-idUSKBN1A30H5

    The Russian government says it is “ready to retaliate”, but did not define exactly how it intends to do so.

    I’d like to know more.

    Will they cut off the flow of caviar? Advise the Bolshoi Ballet to avoid visits to the USA? Maybe stop those tourist runs along the Road of Bones to Irkutsk? Thank the Baba Yaga that vodka doesn’t spoil, eh?

    Perhaps it would be more productive to ‘speak’ to Vlad about his deals with Norkiland for providing armored tracked vehicles to the waddling goofball psycho who runs that haunted country, and not do any more ‘deals’ with him until he stops building missiles.

    If those missiles can reach Japan, they can also be built to reach Moscow, Vlad.  The only good snake is a dead snake.