Category: Foreign Policy

  • Confronting Iran: The Trump Administration’s Strategy

    sec state pompeo

    A very open and telling article by SecState Pompeo on the Trump doctrine, it’s objectives and differences from the previous administration’s policy of “leading from behind.”

    The end of the Cold War forced new thinking among policymakers and analysts about the greatest challenges to U.S. national security. The emergence of al Qaeda, cybercriminals, and other dangerous entities affirmed the threat of nonstate actors. But equally daunting has been the resurgence of outlaw regimes—rogue states that defy international norms, fail to respect human rights and fundamental freedoms, and act against the security of the American people, U.S. allies and partners, and the rest of the world.
    Chief among these outlaw regimes are North Korea and Iran. Their transgressions against international peace are many, but both nations are most notorious for having spent decades pursuing nuclear weapons programs in violation of international prohibitions. Despite Washington’s best efforts at diplomacy, Pyongyang hoodwinked U.S. policymakers with a string of broken arms control agreements going back to the George H. W. Bush administration. North Korea’s nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs continued apace, to the point where after Donald Trump was elected, President Barack Obama told him that this would be his greatest national security challenge. With Iran, likewise, the deal that the Obama administration struck in 2015—the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA—failed to end the country’s nuclear ambitions. In fact, because Iran knew that the Obama administration would prioritize preserving the deal over everything else, the JCPOA created a sense of impunity on the part of the regime, allowing it to increase its support for malign activity. The deal has also given Tehran piles of money, which the supreme leader has used to sponsor all types of terrorism throughout the Middle East (with few consequences in response) and which have boosted the economic fortunes of a regime that remains bent on exporting its revolution abroad and imposing it at home.
    That the threats from North Korea and Iran grew in the post–Iraq war era has further complicated the question of how best to counteract them; Americans are rightly skeptical of the costs of a protracted military commitment in the name of protection from weapons of mass destruction. With the difficulties of Iraq fresh in mind, and with previous agreements to restrain the threats from North Korea and Iran having proved impotent, stopping these recalcitrant regimes from doing harm demands new diplomatic paradigms.
    Enter President Trump. For all of the Washington establishment’s fretting over his style of international engagement, his diplomacy is anchored in a deliberate approach that gives the United States an advantage in confronting outlaw regimes.

    There is considerably more to the article- highly recommended reading at Foreign Affairs

  • Horsing Around Southwest Airlines

    Horsing Around Southwest Airlines

    Good news for some of you people, Southwest Airlines will now allow you to take your Emotional Support Pony on flights.

    Come September 17, people will be able to carry miniature horses onboard Southwest flights as trained service animals, according to airline officials.

    Officials announced the policy change, via a statement on its website on Tuesday. In the statement, officials name miniature horses, along with dogs and cats, as some of the most common service animals that will be accepted onboard. Passengers, however, will need to be able to provide credible verbal assurance that the animal is a trained service animal.

    In addition, the company announced other changes, such as formally accepting Psychiatric Support Animals (PSAs) as trained service animals, after accepting them informally as such in the past, and will also limit each passenger to one Emotional Support Animal.

    Passengers with an ESA will, according to the statement, still need to present a complete, current letter from a medical doctor or licensed mental health professional on the day of departure.

    What kind of Mental Health Professional gives someone a “note” to take a horse on a plane?   My .45 1911 provides me with all kinds of emotional support, where do I get my note?  Please, I am not anti-quadrupedalism or prejudice against those who identify with a pronograde posture as a means of terrestrial locomotion.   Some quadrupeds serve a valuable and much-appreciated function.  A few even give me that warm fuzzy feeling.

  • Defense Secretary Mattis sending personnel to North Korea

    Defense Secretary Mattis sending personnel to North Korea


    I have seen that look before…something is about to get done.

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The U.S. military is “absolutely” considering the possibility of sending personnel to North Korea for the first time in more than a decade to search for additional remains of U.S. troops from the Korean war, U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis said on Friday.

    I ponder several things right off the bat:

    What kind of hysterical hyperbole will the Loony Left come up with to spin a dark side to this?  Is President Trump colluding with Rocket Man to build Time Shares?

    How much would we be  paying for the return of our fallen if  Whats her Name  was running things?  If  That Other Guy sent billions to Iran for…sorry it slips my mind what we paid for, how much would that crowd be willing to pay these days?  Maybe its just me, but it seems all of this winning is taking a toll on Certain People.

    Like him or hate him,  its becoming impossible to not acknowledge the man for accomplishing an awful lot in a short time.  Maybe his button really is bigger…I mean, look at those hands.

     

     

  • Nicaragua; another communist paradise

    Last week, hundreds of Nicaraguans were trapped inside a church by their government’s sharpshooters after they had taken to the streets to demand the resignation of Daniel Ortega, the Castro puppet who has been president of the Central American country a couple of times over the past few decades.

    The standoff was the latest in a series of clashes between government forces and protesters who are demanding the resignation of President Daniel Ortega and a return to democracy in Nicaragua. In recent weeks, protesters erected barricades in cities across the country to keep out government forces, including at the National Autonomous University of Nicaragua (UNAN), which students have occupied over the past two months.

    In recent days, gunmen in plainclothes, who appear to be coordinating with police, have been leading a charge to break through the barricades. Convoys of these gunmen, known as turbas, swept into cities south of the capital, such as Jinotepe and Diriamba, earlier this week and clashed with protesters in attacks that left at least 21 people dead.

    According to AFP ten more people were killed yesterday, on Monday, as pro-government forces reduced the barricades;

    Residents and rights groups had earlier said that troops used mechanical shovels in the early hours of the day to clear barricades in at least three areas.

    “They are going to destroy Masaya, it is absolutely surrounded,” Vilma Nunez, president of the Nicaraguan Center for Human Rights (CENIDH), told AFP.

    “We are being attacked by the National Police and paramilitaries armed with AK-47s and machine guns in our indigenous neighborhood of Monimbo,” said Alvaro Gomez, a resident. “We are resisting with homemade bombs and stones.”

    I guess that most of the pro-communist folks in the United States are incapable of seeing that communism is a suicide pact among populations that elect people like Ortega and Venezuela’s Maduro to political supremacy.

    The semi-official website El 19 Digital said that government forces had “liberated” the town of Niquinohomo as part of a “clean-up operation” in several southern towns, including Monimbo.

    Monimbo has been a center of resistance against the government of President Daniel Ortega since a wave of protests began April 18 over a since-aborted pension reform plan.

    Since then, violence has claimed over 270 lives, most of them civilians, according to CENIDH.

  • Direct talks underway between US and North Korea

    trump_kim

    CNN reports that The United States and North Korea have been holding secret, direct talks to prepare for a summit between President Donald Trump and North Korea leader Kim Jong Un, a sign that planning for the highly anticipated meeting is progressing, several administration officials familiar with the discussions tell CNN.

    “Central Intelligence Agency Director Mike Pompeo and a team at the CIA have been working through intelligence back-channels to prepare for the summit, the officials said. American and North Korean intelligence officials have spoken several times and have even met in a third country, with a focus on nailing down a location for the talks.

    Although the North Korean regime has not publicly declared its invitation by Kim Jong Un to meet with Trump, which was conveyed last month by a South Korean envoy, several officials say North Korea has since acknowledged Trump’s acceptance, and Pyongyang has reaffirmed Kim is willing to discuss the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.

    The North Koreans are pushing to have the meeting in their capital, Pyongyang, the sources said, although it is unclear whether the White House would be willing to hold the talks there. The Mongolian capital Ulaanbaatar has also been raised as a possible location, the sources said.”

    Pompeo is one of Trump’s most trusted national security advisers and has led efforts to prepare for the summit. If confirmed, he will assume oversight of the diplomatic preparations. As recently as this weekend, Trump told associates he was looking forward to the summit, which he agreed to on the spot when presented the invitation from Kim. The timeline, however, remains unidentified. Officials said the current target date is late May or June.

    “Officials said the participation of the North Koreans in the preparatory talks give them more confidence that Kim is serious about meeting. Until the talks between US and North Korean intelligence officials began in earnest, Trump and his aides have relied partly on the characterizations of the South Koreans, which have experienced a rapprochement since the Olympic games held in Pyongchang in February that led to Kim’s historic invite to Trump.

    The Chinese have also provided a briefing to the White House after Kim and President Xi Jinping met in Beijing late last month.”

    State Department officials continue to communicate with the North Koreans though their mission to the United Nations, discussions which are referred to as the “New York channel.”

    The talks with North Korea are informing coordination among government agencies which are preparing for the summit, an effort led by Matthew Pottinger, the top Asia official at the National Security Council. Incoming national security adviser John Bolton, who starts work at the White House on Monday, is expected to assume a large role in the planning for the talks, along with Pompeo.

    I’m guardedly optimistic for a successful outcome- the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula and improved relations among the countries involved; something prior administrations patently failed to achieve. The fact is, without Trump’s hard ball sanctions, these talks would be a fantasy.

  • US destroyer sails near contested reef in South China Sea, angering Beijing

    uss hopper

    Fox News reports USS Hopper, a guided missile destroyer, sailed near a contested reef near the Philippines this week, resulting in a protest from Beijing, claiming it trespassed in Chinese territorial waters.

    Wednesday’s Freedom of Navigation exercise occurred two days before Defense Secretary Mattis revealed a new strategy, naming China and Russia as the biggest threats to the U.S., and the U.S. military advantage over China is eroding.

    A U.S. official confirmed the operation to Fox News saying it was merely “innocent passage” when the USS Hopper, a guided-missile destroyer, sailed within 12 nautical miles of the uninhabited reef, Scarborough Shoal.

    Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said expressed dissatisfaction with the U.S. action and China would take “necessary measures to firmly safeguard its sovereignty,” the South China Morning Post reported.

    Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Wu Qian said China dispatched a missile frigate to identify the U.S. vessel and warned it to leave the area.

    We hope that the U.S. respects China’s sovereignty, respects the efforts by regional countries and do not make trouble out of nothing,” Wu said.

    The United States conducts routine and regular FONOPs (Freedom of Navigation Operations), as we have done in the past and will continue to do so in the future,” Navy Lt. Cmdr. Nicole Schwegman said Saturday. “We have a comprehensive FONOP program under which U.S. forces challenge excessive maritime claims across the globe to demonstrate our commitment to uphold the rights, freedoms and lawful uses of the sea and airspace guaranteed to all nations under international law. FONOPs are not about any one country, nor are they about making political statements. FONOPS are designed to comply with international law and not threaten the lawful security interest of coastal States.

    Twelve nautical miles from land is internationally recognized as the territorial limit for all nations. Since the U.S. doesn’t honor many of the claims by China in the South China Sea, Freedom of Navigation Operations are conducted by Navy warships.

    The South China Sea has crucial shipping lanes, rich fishing grounds and potential oil, gas and other mineral deposits. China claims most of it.

  • India and Pakistan trade cross-border small arms fire

    The Associated Press reports that the two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan, have been shooting at each other with small arms fire recently.

    Three Pakistani soldiers have been killed by Indian fire across the Line of Control in the disputed Kashmir region, Pakistani officials said Tuesday.

    A military statement said the “unprovoked cease-fire violation” took place Monday in Rawalakot in the Pakistan-controlled part of Kashmir. It came two days after India’s army said four of its soldiers had been killed by Pakistani fire along the de facto border between the South Asian rivals.

    In the latest shooting, the Indian military said that its soldiers targeted Pakistani posts after the Pakistani side had targeted their positions. The Indian troops did not suffer any casualties, officials said.

    There has been a ceasefire in force since 2003, but over 200 rebels, 75 Indian soldiers and police, and at least 40 civilians have died in the violence this year. That’s some ceasefire.

    Pakistan also has a convicted Indian spy on death row according to Reuters. The World Court has ordered Pakistan to delay his execution at the urging of India.

    From The Indian Express;

    Sources said that Indian action was necessitated as some suspicious activity was noticed at forward Pakistani posts along the Line of Control opposite Poonch late last evening. Some Pakistani posts appeared to have been damaged as thick smoke billowed from across the border.

    The Pakistan’s Inter Services Public Relations (ISPR) confirmed killing of three Pakistani soldiers in firing from Indian side. On Sunday, Indian army troops in Nowshera had killed a Pakistani sniper opposite Rajouri’s Nowshera sector when, according to sources, he was taking a position to fire at the Indian side.

    I guess we’re lucky that Indian military doctrine doesn’t call for nuclear weapons to take out snipers at this point in time.

  • US to provide anti-tank weapons to Ukraine

    US to provide anti-tank weapons to Ukraine

    According to CNN, the US State Department has said that the US will provide anti-tank weapons to the Ukraine to help them defend against Russia-backed separatists.

    The State Department said the “US assistance is entirely defensive in nature, and as we have always said, Ukraine is a sovereign country and has a right to defend itself.”

    Among the weapons being sent are US-made Javelin anti-tank missiles, the official said.
    Members of Congress and the US-backed Ukrainian government had long requmested anti-tank weapons to boost Kiev in its fight against Russian-backed separatists.

    From ABC News;

    The total defense package of $47 million includes the sale of 210 anti-tank missiles and 35 launchers. Additional supplies will need to be purchased, according to a senior State Department official.

    The Russians aren’t pleased;

    Sergei Ryabkov, Russia’s deputy foreign minister, responded harshly to the news of the pending deal in a statement on Saturday.

    “The United States in a certain sense crossed the line, announcing the intention to transfer weapons of direct damaging action to Ukraine,” the statement said, translated from Russian. “American weapons can lead to new victims in our neighboring country, to which we cannot remain indifferent.”