Category: Blue Skies

  • The Truth Is Out There – Pt. II

    On September 9, I wrote an article about the 24th MEU being deployed to engage in a joint exercise with other allies in Norway.  https://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/your-marine-corps/2018/09/06/24th-marine-expeditionary-unit-will-head-to-norway-to-join-40000-troops-strong-nato-exercise/

    Marines with the 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit, or MEU, are slated to participate in one of the largest NATO exercises later this fall hosted by Norway, according to Marine officials.

    Yesterday, I was surprised to find an article on WattsUpWithThat, a climate blog, informing us that the FBI guys had shut down the Daniel K. Inouye Solar Observatory in New Mexico with no explanation, chased all personnel out, and closed the two post offices that serve that site.  The same thing has happened at several other solar observatories.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/09/12/weird-fbi-closes-national-solar-observatory-over-mysterious-security-issue/

    WEIRD: FBI closes National Solar Observatory over mysterious ‘security issue’

    Unless I miss my guess, this tower/antenna construction around a solar ‘scope, which solar physicists use to study the sun, is a throwback to the listening posts that used to be called the DEW (Distant Early Warning) system.  My guess is that it’s the same thing: set up a network of listening posts to tune into the Chinese/Russian war games, monitor the activity, and be alert for a missile from that area “going off course by accident” (sure, Vlad!) and heading this way.

    While this is puzzling to the general public, and especially to the people who are sure space aliens are involved in this somehow, I think it’s more likely this and the other sites are being set up to mimic the DEW system managed by NORAD back in the long ago, when we were still in the midst of the Cold War, when a nuclear missile from the Soviet Union reaching the USA was a real threat, and is still a threat today.

    Since Vlad Putin and Xi JinPing are engaging in joint war games of their own, prompting the USA to engage in the same joint exercises in Norway, I see nothing mysterious at all about the co-opting of a solar scope, or several, as listening posts for the Feebies.

    The Inouye Solar Observatory is in New Mexico, not far from White Sands, which is a missile testing range as well as a military base. There are military bases in Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, Nebraska. You name the state, and there’s a base somewhere. NS Great Lakes may be a recruit training command, but the art of seamanship is being taught there now. It would take no effort, as I have noted before, to turn Waukegan International Airport and Mitchell Airport near Milwaukee into military air bases. The Great Lakes are deep enough to accommodate ships like destroyers and aircraft carriers and with modern-day ships, the problems that plagued the 1939 training program on Lake Michigan (not enough wind for lift for the planes)  are no long an issue.

    As others have noted, when the interstate highway system was constructed during the Eisenhower administration, the object was partly to provide adequate runways for military aircraft. On a six-lane highway, how many troop transport trucks could you move efficiently to a waiting troop carrier aircraft?

    In addition, we all know (because we can see those videos) that the  people at Minot AFB practice the 15-second MITO exercises and scrambles constantly, as do all aircraft carrier crews and all military air bases.  (Cue the MITO video from ‘Gathering of Eagles.)

    I’m guessing, of course, but if towers and antennas are being set up at these solar observatories, it’s because there is something going on, and the observatories are in the perfect location to set up a network mimicking the DEW system from the Cold War.

    There used to be a ring of Minuteman missile silos around Lincoln, NE, where my paternal grandmother lived. When we went to visit her, she’d take us there for dinner and we had a ringside seat to watch the fighter jets taking off.  Frankly, I felt much more secure about such things during the Cold War than I do now.

    I kind of miss those days.

  • Rear Admiral: Mid-Atlantic Bases Are Ready For Florence

    flo winds

    AUSTIN, Texas — Navy Region Mid-Atlantic is ready for the Hurricane Florence, said Rear Adm. Charles Rock, the region’s commander.
    With about 300,000 servicemembers, family members, reservists and retirees in the storm’s path, he said they are “taking it very seriously” as they prepare for the storm projected to strike the East Coast of the United States by Saturday morning.
    “Our focus is first on safety of our assets and safety of our personnel. As soon as the storm passes and we have the opportunity to ensure our facilities are safe and personnel are safe, roadways are safe, we’ll open our installations again to get back to training and readiness,” Rock said.
    As of Wednesday, the Navy ordered evacuations for low-lying portions of Naval Station Norfolk in Virginia and 11 counties of North Carolina in conjunction with evacuation orders issued by those states.
    In Virginia, Rock said much of the Navy’s facilities are outside the evacuation area, known as flood zone A. He said one portion of the base in Virginia Beach susceptible to flooding and wind damage is Dam Neck Annex, where about 1,400 sailors and family members live. They were moved Wednesday.

    View the entire article Here

  • NOAA 1400 Update

    flo 1400 12 sep

    NOAA Link

    822
    WTNT31 KNHC 121757
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Florence Intermediate Advisory Number 53A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
    200 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

    …FLORENCE’S PEAK WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY BUT THE SIZE OF THE
    WIND FIELD HAS INCREASED…
    …LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS
    PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS…

    SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————-
    LOCATION…30.4N 71.8W
    ABOUT 435 MI…700 KM SE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 470 MI…755 KM ESE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…125 MPH…205 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…948 mb…27.99 inches

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ——————–
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
    * South Santee River South Carolina to Duck North Carolina
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds, including the Neuse and Pamlico
    Rivers

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina
    * North of Duck North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
    * South Santee River South Carolina to Duck North Carolina
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
    * North of Duck North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
    * North of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Cape Charles Light
    Virginia
    * Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort

    Interests elsewhere in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic states
    should monitor the progress of Florence.

    A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
    inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
    during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
    depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
    located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
    protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
    other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
    instructions from local officials.

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
    36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
    force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
    rushed to completion.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
    before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
    winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ———————-
    At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), reports from An Air Force Reserve
    reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the center of the eye of
    Hurricane Florence was located near latitude 30.4 North, longitude
    71.8 West. Florence is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph
    (26 km/h) and this general motion, accompanied by a gradual decrease
    in forward speed, is expected to through Saturday. On the forecast
    track, the center of Florence will move over the southwestern
    Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas today, and approach
    the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the hurricane
    warning area on Thursday and Friday and move slowly near the
    coastline through Saturday.

    The reconnaissance aircraft found that maximum sustained winds have
    decreased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Florence is
    now a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
    Scale. Some fluctuations in strength will be possible through
    Thursday morning. Although slow weakening is expected to begin by
    late Thursday, Florence is still forecast to be an extremely
    dangerous major hurricane when it nears the U.S. coast late Thursday
    and Friday.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
    miles (280 km). A NOAA buoy located about 100 miles northeast of
    Florence’s eye recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85
    km/h) and a gust to 74 mph (119 km/h).

    The minimum central pressure based on reports from the
    reconnaissance aircraft is estimated to be 948 mb (27.99 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ———————-
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
    potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
    occurs at the time of high tide…

    Cape Fear NC to Cape Lookout NC, including the Neuse, Pamlico,
    Pungo, and Bay Rivers…9-13 ft
    North Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Fear NC…6-9 ft
    Cape Lookout NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC…6-9 ft
    South Santee River SC to North Myrtle Beach SC…4-6 ft
    Ocracoke Inlet NC to Salvo NC…4-6 ft
    Salvo NC to North Carolina/Virginia Border…2-4 ft
    Edisto Beach SC to South Santee River SC…2-4 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
    onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
    destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
    timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
    short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
    products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
    office.

    RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive
    rainfall in the following areas…

    Coastal North Carolina…20 to 30 inches, isolated 40 inches. This
    rainfall would produce catastrophic flash flooding and significant
    river flooding.

    South Carolina, western and northern North Carolina…5 to 10
    inches, isolated 20 inches.
    Elsewhere in the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states…3 to 6
    inches, isolated 12 inches.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
    the hurricane warning area late Thursday or Friday. Winds are
    expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Thursday, making
    outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to
    protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

    TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern North Carolina
    beginning late Thursday morning.

    SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda, portions
    of the U.S. East Coast, and the northwestern and central Bahamas.
    These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
    current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
    office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    ————-
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

  • Hurricane Florence Advisory

    342 florence
    WTNT31 KNHC 120852
    TCPAT1
    NOAA Link
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Florence Advisory Number 52
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
    500 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

    …DANGEROUS FLORENCE HEADING TOWARD THE U.S. EAST COAST…
    …EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL TO
    PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES…

    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————-
    LOCATION…29.0N 70.1W
    ABOUT 575 MI…925 KM SE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…130 MPH…215 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…946 MB…27.94 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ——————–
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Duck North
    Carolina to the North Carolina-Virginia border. The Hurricane
    Watch for this area has been discontinued.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
    * South Santee River South Carolina to Duck North Carolina
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds, including the Neuse and Pamlico
    Rivers

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina
    * North of Duck North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
    * South Santee River South Carolina to Duck North Carolina
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
    * North of Duck North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
    * North of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Cape Charles Light
    Virginia
    * Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort

    Interests elsewhere in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic states
    should monitor the progress of Florence.

    A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
    inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
    during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
    depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
    located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
    protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
    other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
    instructions from local officials.

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
    36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
    force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
    rushed to completion.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
    before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
    winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ———————-
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was
    located near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 70.1 West. Florence is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A motion
    toward the west-northwest and northwest is expected through
    Thursday. Florence is expected to slow down considerably by late
    Thursday into Friday, and move through early Saturday. On the
    forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the
    southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas today,
    and approach the coast of North Carolina or South Carolina in the
    hurricane warning area on Thursday and Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Florence is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
    Hurricane Wind Scale. Strengthening is forecast through tonight.
    While some weakening is expected on Thursday, Florence is forecast
    to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it nears the
    U.S. coast.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
    miles (280 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 946 mb (27.94 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ———————-
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
    potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
    occurs at the time of high tide…

    Cape Fear to Cape Lookout, including the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and
    Bay Rivers…9-13 ft
    North Myrtle Beach to Cape Fear…6-9 ft
    Cape Lookout to Ocracoke Inlet…6-9 ft
    South Santee River to North Myrtle Beach…4-6 ft
    Ocracoke Inlet to North Carolina/Virginia Border…4-6 ft
    Edisto Beach to South Santee River…2-4 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
    onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
    destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
    timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
    short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
    products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
    office.

    RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive
    rainfall in the following areas…

    Coastal North Carolina…20 to 30 inches, isolated 40 inches
    South Carolina, western and northern North Carolina…5 to
    10 inches, isolated 20 inches
    Elsewhere in the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states…3 to
    6 inches, isolated 12 inches

    This rainfall would produce catastrophic flash flooding and
    significant river flooding.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
    the hurricane warning area on Friday. Winds are expected to first
    reach tropical storm strength on Thursday, making outside
    preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
    and property should be rushed to completion.

    SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and
    portions of the U.S. East Coast. These swells are likely to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    ————-
    Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

  • Hurricane Florence Advisory

    Florence
    NOAA Link
    107
    WTNT31 KNHC 111446
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Florence Advisory Number 49
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
    1100 AM AST Tue Sep 11 2018

    …FLORENCE EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN LATER TODAY…
    …LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF NORTH
    AND SOUTH CAROLINA…

    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————–
    LOCATION…26.7N 65.3W
    ABOUT 390 MI…625 KM S OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 905 MI…1455 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…130 MPH…215 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…950 MB…28.06 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ——————–
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to the North Carolina-Virginia border
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds, including the Neuse and Pamlico
    Rivers

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
    * Edisto Beach South Carolina to the North Carolina-Virginia border
    * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

    Interests elsewhere in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic states
    should monitor the progress of Florence. Additional watches may be
    required later today.

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
    before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
    winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
    dangerous.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ———————-
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was
    located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 65.3 West. Florence
    is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west-
    northwestward to northwestward motion with a slight increase in
    forward speed are expected during the next couple of days. On
    the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the
    southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas through
    Wednesday, and approach the coast of North Carolina or South
    Carolina in the hurricane watch area Thursday and Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Florence is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
    Hurricane Wind Scale. Florence is expected to begin re-
    strengthening later today and continue a slow strengthening trend
    for the next day or so. While some weakening is expected on
    Thursday, Florence is expected to be an extremely dangerous major
    hurricane through landfall.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
    (240 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ———————-
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
    potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
    occurs at the time of high tide…

    Edisto Beach to Murrells Inlet…2-4 ft
    Murrells Inlet to Cape Fear…4-6 ft
    Cape Fear to Cape Lookout including The Neuse and Pamlico
    River…6-12 ft
    Cape Lookout to Ocracoke Inlet…5-8 ft
    Ocracoke Inlet to North Carolina/Virginia Border…3-5 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
    onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
    destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
    timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
    short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
    products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
    office.

    RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce total rainfall
    accumulations of 15 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts to 30
    inches near the storm’s track over portions of the Carolinas and
    Mid-Atlantic States from late this week into early next week. This
    rainfall could produce catastrophic flash flooding and significant
    river flooding.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
    late Thursday or Thursday night, with tropical storm conditions
    possible by Thursday morning.

    SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and
    portions of the U.S. East Coast. These swells are likely to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    ————-
    Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Stewart

  • Hurricane Florence Public Advisory

    NOAA Florence
    NOAA Link

    092
    WTNT31 KNHC 101448
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Florence Advisory Number 45
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
    1100 AM AST Mon Sep 10 2018

    …FLORENCE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE…

    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————–
    LOCATION…25.0N 60.0W
    ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 1240 MI…2000 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…962 MB…28.41 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ——————–
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Interests in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic states should monitor
    the progress of Florence. Storm Surge and Hurricane watches could
    be issued for portions of these areas by Tuesday morning.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ———————-
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Florence was
    located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 60.0 West. Florence is
    moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A west-northwestward
    motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next
    couple of days. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur
    late Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Florence
    will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and
    the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday, and approach the coast of South
    Carolina or North Carolina on Thursday.

    Satellite data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased
    to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Florence is a
    category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
    Further strengthening is anticipated, and Florence is expected to be
    an extremely dangerous major hurricane through Thursday.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
    (220 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ———————-
    SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and
    portions of the U.S. East Coast. These swells are likely to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    ————-
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

  • Tropical Storm Florence, Update

    Update

    Update 9/9/2018

    Just in, Governors of Virginia and both Carolinas have just declared a state of emergency in their respective states.

    Still a tropical storm, but freshening and expected to be a Cat 3 or better Hurricane when it comes ashore.

    The Carolinas are the current predicted landfall, but these storms don’t always play by the script.

    If you’re in the target area, time to start doing due diligence and prepare for a big storm next week.

    Wunderground Weather Link

    NOAA Link

    Tip ‘o the chapeau to Hondo for the NOAA link.

  • Last living member of Marine aviation legend Joe Foss’ ‘Flying Circus’ recalls Guadalcanal

    Sam Folsom had never flown an airplane above 10,000 feet, or fired the weapons on the F4F Wildcat he would soon fly into combat, when he arrived on Guadalcanal in September 1942.

    The battle for the strategic Pacific island was raging, as Folsom and most of his green fighter pilots joined squadron VMF-121.

    They were tasked with finding and destroying Japanese G4M medium bombers – nicknamed “Bettys” – that had been wreaking havoc on American Marines on their first major offensive in the Pacific theater during World War II.

    “We were in combat immediately with no experience,” Folsom, 98, recently told Stars and Stripes. “Green as can be – very few of us had any real flight experience. I guess I had 12 or 14 hours in the F4F when I got into combat.”

    It showed from the outset, he recalled.

    Stars and Stripes reports just days after reaching Guadalcanal, Folsom found himself piloting his Wildcat upward of 25,000 feet when a formation of Japanese A6M Zero fighters and Betty Bombers approached.

    For the first time, Folsom maneuvered his fighter into position, moving onto the tail of an enemy plane to line up the sights for the six M2 .50-caliber machine guns mounted on his Wildcat’s wings. He pulled the trigger.

    “Nothing happened,” Folsom recalled.

    Folsom’s squadron had covered its guns in lubricant before he took off, but at altitude the coating froze, rendering the machine guns useless.

    “I don’t remember anything except thinking, ‘Jesus, are these damn guns going to fire?’ ” Folsom said. “Very frustrating. Causes bad words to come from your mouth.”

    It would happen twice more to Folsom – and dozens of additional times to his squadron mates – before the unit realized the cause.

    Folsom would leave Guadalcanal with three air-to-air kills – after downing a pair of Betty Bombers and a D3A Type 99 “Val,” a carrier-based Japanese dive bomber.

    To the best of his knowledge, Folsom said, he is the only living member of his fighter squadron.

    In honor of his 98th birthday, Folsom took the field Aug. 14 at Los Angeles’ Dodger Stadium, where the Major League Baseball team celebrated him as its Hero of the Game.

    It was a moment, like so many others in his life, he said he would treasure.

    Talk about on the job training. Bravo Zulu, Mr. Folson, one of America’s Greatest Generation.