DoD has announced their intent to cut a substantial number of civilian jobs over the next 5 years – between 40,000 and 50,000. The planned cuts will amount to between 5 and 6 percent of the DoD civilian workforce. Approximately 12,000 are planned for next fiscal year alone.
(For those interested, DoD currently has around 1.4 million personnel in uniform full-time. DoD civilian employment at the end of September is projected to be roughly 777,000 – or just over 1/3 of DoD’s total full-time direct employees. For comparison, an equivalent cut in uniformed strength over 5 years would be between roughly 70,000 and 84,000.)
Many of the cuts are supposedly tied to a proposed future Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) action. However, the actual closing of bases won’t begin until 2016 in order to “allow the economy more time to recover”.
Funny – I seem to remember the POTUS telling us for a couple of years now that the economy was “improving”, but maybe my memory is wrong. And I seem to recall that something else that will happen in 2016, too.
In any case: further consolidation of military health care facilities was identified as a way to reduce civilian employment. The end of the war in Afghanistan was also identified as a potential source of civilian employment reductions.
I have to say I’m a bit skeptical on the feasibility of that “health care facility consolidation” claim. IMO, that might work in some locales where multiple major military installations currently and such consolidation hasn’t already happened. But in many places, military healthcare downsizing/consolidation has already happened. Many Army installations I’ve been to during the past few years no longer have a full Army hospital; instead they have “Army Health Clinics” or “Army Health Centers”. That’s true today at some good-sized installations like Fort Rucker, Redstone Arsenal, Fort Meade, or Fort Huachuca. So I’m kinda wondering about the mechanics and feasibility of that part of DoD’s plan.
DoD has indicated that they hope to achieve this reduction through “attrition”. They’re considering offering early retirement incentives and hiring freezes to try to cut end strength without having to let people go involuntarily.
Something tells me that might just not work as well as expected. Unlike uniformed military, DoD civilian employees haven’t gotten a yearly pay raise since January 2010. Their pension (such as it is under the current system – it ain’t particularly generous any more) is based on their salary during their highest 36 continuous months of employment. This usually ends up being the last 3 years of civilian service – and sequestration furloughs later this year will screw with that average. I’m guessing quite a number of folks who are retirement eligible will hold out to see if they (1) start getting pay raises again as the economy improves as well as (2) letting their “high 3 average” recover from sequestration before they start punching out. Many will also want (or need) to work post-retirement, so a poor economy will also be a disincentive to retire immediately.
Bottom line: it ain’t just the uniformed side of the house that’s feeling the downsizing pinch in DoD. And for those of you in uniform who were planning to retire or separate and move to a civilian job with DoD, it looks like the potential for hiring freezes just raised the bar for getting hired as a government civillian substantially, too.