{"id":98612,"date":"2020-04-21T07:07:33","date_gmt":"2020-04-21T11:07:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=98612"},"modified":"2020-04-21T07:10:06","modified_gmt":"2020-04-21T11:10:06","slug":"models-and-simulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=98612","title":{"rendered":"Modeling and Simulation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-98614 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/earth-day-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"332\" height=\"221\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/earth-day-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/earth-day-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/earth-day-500x333.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/earth-day.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 332px) 100vw, 332px\" \/><br \/>\nEarth Day 22 April<\/p>\n<p>For a while I worked at NAVAIR&#8217;s Warfare Analysis division, where modeling and simulation ruled. A PhD there told me, &#8220;All models lie. Some are useful.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I quickly learned in modeling and sim the results are only as good as the input data.<\/p>\n<p>Poetrooper sends.<\/p>\n<h3>An Earth Day reckoning? Greenies panicking over the discrediting of computer models predicting disaster<\/h3>\n<p><strong>By Thomas Lifson<\/strong><br \/>\nWe have learned the hard way that the scientists who produce mathematical models predicting disaster are not to be granted the presumption of infallibility. Nor are their demands that we impoverish ourselves in order to avert a disaster a matter of &#8220;settled science.&#8221; The coronavirus doom that the Cassandras of prestigious scientific organs predicted is nowhere to be found, and it turns out that models are based on assumptions and can be spectacularly wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Americans have sacrificed trillions of dollars and turned our lives upside-down based on predictions of millions of deaths if we didn&#8217;t follow radically change our way of life, based on the pandemic predictions of modelers in the U.K. and USA.<\/p>\n<p>How embarrassing for the modelers that tell us we have to make even deeper sacrifices for a global warming disaster that is decades away, if it ever develops. You can smell their panic in this planned propaganda blitz from the Olympian heights of the media establishment. Chris White of the <a href=\"https:\/\/dailycaller.com\/2020\/04\/16\/coronavirus-climate-news-coverage-columbia-journalism-review\/\">Daily Caller News Foundation<\/a> writes:<\/p>\n<p><em>A project co-founded by the Columbia Journalism Review is asking hundreds of news outlets to focus their reporting on climate change on Earth Day as journalists focus primarily on coronavirus coverage.<\/p>\n<p>The journalist heading the effort believes the media should be devoting the same level of attention to global warming as they do to a virus that has killed more than 100,000 people worldwide. (snip)<\/p>\n<p>The founders behind Covering Climate Now are asking their network of more than 400 media outlets to blanket the airwaves with stories about climate change during the week of Earth Day. Reuters, Bloomberg News, and The Daily Beast are among the biggest names listed as partners of the project.<\/p>\n<p>The project&#8217;s co-founder, Mark Hertsgaard, has said news outlets should be devoting the same amount of time to climate change as they do COVID-19.<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Paraphrasing the Wizard of Oz, &#8220;pay no attention to the modeler behind that curtain!&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Read the rest of the article here: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanthinker.com\/blog\/2020\/04\/an_earth_day_reckoning_greenies_panicking_over_the_discrediting_of_computer_models_predicting_disaster_.html\">American Thinker<\/a><\/p>\n<p>GIGO still applies. Thanks, Poe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Earth Day 22 April For a while I worked at NAVAIR&#8217;s Warfare Analysis division, where modeling &hellip; <a title=\"Modeling and Simulation\" class=\"hm-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=98612\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Modeling and Simulation<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":657,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[87,406],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general-whackos","category-guest-link"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98612","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/657"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=98612"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98612\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":98617,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98612\/revisions\/98617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=98612"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=98612"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=98612"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}