{"id":60221,"date":"2015-06-05T07:29:20","date_gmt":"2015-06-05T11:29:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=60221"},"modified":"2015-06-05T09:26:12","modified_gmt":"2015-06-05T13:26:12","slug":"looks-like-noaa-is-rectifying-history-yet-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=60221","title":{"rendered":"Looks Like NOAA Is &#8220;Rectifying&#8221; History . . . . Yet Again"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, NOAA will come out with a\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <del>tall tale<\/del> \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 scientific paper today that says that the nearly 20-year &#8220;Global Warming Pause&#8221; you&#8217;ve been hearing about &#8211; isn&#8217;t real.\u00a0 Their new \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <del>cock-and-bull-story<\/del>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 scholarly article will appear in the journal <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Science<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for NOAA, a couple of folks with a scientific background and no agenda (plus a healthy dose of skepticism) got their hands on the paper and its supporting data &#8211; which was &#8220;embargoed&#8221; from public release until 2PM EDT yesterday.\u00a0 These two individuals took a critical look at the data and the paper&#8217;s methodology.<\/p>\n<p>The two individuals make a persuasive case that NOAA &#8211; for probably the 4th time since January 2009 &#8211; appears to have &#8220;diddled the data&#8221;.\u00a0 Essentially, what NOAA has done is &#8220;adjusted&#8221; many past temps downward &#8211; below previously accepted values &#8211; for years before the mid\/late 1930s\/early 1940s.\u00a0 Then they &#8220;adjusted&#8221; more recent temps upward above the accepted, measured values.<\/p>\n<p>The net result of these new &#8220;adjustments&#8221; is to make the now roughly 20-year pause in &#8220;global warming&#8221; they can&#8217;t explain go &#8220;Poof!&#8221; and disappear.\u00a0\u00a0 How . . . convenient.<\/p>\n<p>These two are the &#8220;money charts&#8221; from the article, which show exactly what&#8217;s going on.\u00a0 First, here&#8217;s the one that highlights NOAA&#8217;s\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <del>blatant data manipulations<\/del> \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 temperature &#8220;adjustments&#8221; to measured data in their\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <del>propaganda<\/del>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 scholarly paper released today by year.\u00a0 Blue values represent &#8220;adjustments&#8221; which are reductions from measured reality; red values, &#8220;adjustments&#8221; that are increases over measured reality.\u00a0 The &#8220;crossover point&#8221; is in the late 1930s\/early 1940s &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=56060\"><em>precisely when actual <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">unadjusted<\/span><\/strong> measured raw data appears to show the beginning of a slight cooling trend<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com\/2015\/06\/ncdc20maturitydiagramsince200805171.gif?w=450&amp;h=243\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This second chart shows there have been multiple such adjustments since the beginning of 2009.\u00a0 The adjustments from today&#8217;s article don&#8217;t seem to be shown &#8211; yet.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com\/2015\/06\/ncdc20jan191520and20jan20001.gif?w=450&amp;h=406\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t believe that&#8217;s what&#8217;s going on here?\u00a0 Well, then &#8220;Rjddle me this, Batman&#8221;:\u00a0 if <em>recent<\/em> temperature measurements &#8211; made with highly accurate modern equipment we know well &#8211; are so &#8220;uncertain&#8221; that they have to be dramatically &#8220;adjusted&#8221; upwards, then <em>how in the hell do they know how to &#8220;adjust&#8221; measurements taken 60+ years ago on equipment of what type they don&#8217;t always know <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">downward<\/span><\/em>? And why is the precise effect of these &#8220;adjustments&#8221; to explain away an apparent flaw in their claims of &#8220;runaway global warming&#8221; that previously could not be explained &#8211; a flaw demonstrated by their own measured data?<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, these adjustments fly in the face of common sense.\u00a0 Modern electronic temperature measuring equipment responds <em>much<\/em> faster than mechanical measuring devices from decades ago.\u00a0 Modern equipment thus captures fast, temporary transients &#8211; both high and low &#8211; that the older equipment simply missed.\u00a0 Modern equipment would therefore be expected to capture HIGHER and LOWER daily extremes than equipment used a century ago, as well as lower lows &#8211; e.g., to show a bias towards MORE EXTREME MEASUREMENTS.<\/p>\n<p>If anything, any adjustments to harmonize old and new data would be to <em>reduce<\/em> more recent temperature extremes to correct for the capture of extremes by modern equipment &#8211; or to <em>increase <\/em>past extremes to account for missing those same transients.\u00a0 You wouldn&#8217;t adjust <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">both<\/span> to harmonize the data &#8211; well, IMO you wouldn&#8217;t if you were doing legitimate science.<\/p>\n<p>But if you were instead attempting to push an agenda, truth be damned?\u00a0 Maybe you&#8217;d do exactly that.<\/p>\n<p>Here, NOAA appears to have adjusted both old and new measured temperatures.\u00a0 And they adjusted them in precisely the way needed to support their &#8220;runaway global warming&#8221; thesis.<\/p>\n<p>Sheesh.\u00a0 The propaganda here from NOAA seems to be moving well beyond the Johnsonian or Nixonian in scope.\u00a0 This one has the &#8220;Baghdad Bob&#8221; seal of approval.<\/p>\n<p>And remember:\u00a0 since NOAA is Federally funded &#8211; we&#8217;re the ones paying for their propaganda.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll let you come to your own conclusion concerning why NOAA did this.\u00a0 I personally think the <em>actual<\/em> reason this was done is quite obvious.\u00a0 But maybe that&#8217;s just me.<\/p>\n<p>I will say this, though. Give me raw data and let me &#8220;adjust&#8221; it as I see fit, NQA, <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>and I can prove any freaking thing I please from any data set you give me &#8211; reality be damned<\/em><\/span>.\u00a0 As one of the authors is quoted in the article from which the above diagrams appear: \u201cIn the business and trading world, people go to jail for such manipulations of data.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The science blog <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/\"><em>&#8220;What&#8217;s Up With That?&#8221;<\/em><\/a> has an excellent <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2015\/06\/04\/noaancdcs-new-pause-buster-paper-a-laughable-attempt-to-create-warming-by-adjusting-past-data\/\"><em>article by Bob Tisdale and Anthony Watts<\/em><\/a> describing just how NOAA is trying to pull a fast one here. It&#8217;s quite detailed, and isn&#8217;t exactly a &#8220;quick and easy&#8221; read.\u00a0 But it&#8217;s IMO well worth the time to read anyway.<\/p>\n<p>Global warming <em>my ass<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, NOAA will come out with a\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 tall tale \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 scientific paper today that says that &hellip; <a title=\"Looks Like NOAA Is &#8220;Rectifying&#8221; History . . . . Yet Again\" class=\"hm-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=60221\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Looks Like NOAA Is &#8220;Rectifying&#8221; History . . . . Yet Again<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":623,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[213,98],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-your-tax-dollars-at-work","category-global-warming"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/623"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60221"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60221\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}