{"id":28245,"date":"2012-01-09T09:12:35","date_gmt":"2012-01-09T13:12:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=28245"},"modified":"2012-01-09T09:12:35","modified_gmt":"2012-01-09T13:12:35","slug":"more-on-ron-pauls-military-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=28245","title":{"rendered":"More on Ron Paul’s military support"},"content":{"rendered":"

Someone dropped off this link in the comments<\/a> the other day of my post about Ron Paul’s claim<\/a> that based on his donations from the military, he enjoys massive support from active duty military members. the link is to an article by JJ Jackson in that Conservative Canadian media known as the Canada Free Press. Jackson contends that if you divide the total amount of money contributed to Paul’s campaign by $1, it means only about 4.4% of the military actually supports Paul. Of course, that percentage dwindles as you get closer to the real amounts of the contributions;<\/p>\n

What is sad, though, is that sometimes Paulbots are able to fool enough people and parlay this phony sense of support into actual results. See the final vote count of the Iowa Caucuses where Mr. Paul netted more than 21% of the vote. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Of course, the comments blow up with Paulians trying to discredit the formula. I couldn’t resist commenting to this;<\/p>\n

Well, clearly the author has some homework to do when it comes to statistics. The fallacy of the main point he attempts to make consists in the tacit assumption that all those who do not make a contribution do not support Paul. Following this reasoning, it would seem that some 90% of the military have no political preferences at all, given that Paul received more contributions from the sector than all other GOP candidates combined and more than Obamao.<\/p>\n

The most reliable measure of one’s preferences is one supported with one’s cash. Preferences of those who contribute are then extrapolated over those who don’t. There is nothing inappropriate about it, unless the author has convincing evidence that noncontributing soldiers are distributed in a significantly different manner. Arguing that they all are against Ron Paul is plain silly and rather embarrassing. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

My question;<\/p>\n

How is that different from the Paulbots implying that Paul gets more money from the military than any other candidate because the military overwhelmingly supports Paul for president? <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The answer, of course;<\/p>\n

The difference goeas [sic] back to sampling. Since you have no reasonable way to ask all military whom they want as President, you take some of them who revealed their preferences and then say that the sample distribution is roughly the same as the population distribution (i.e., how the military would vote as a whole). <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

What? I guess he means that the sampling can only be correctly construed by Paulbots, as long as it ends up in their favor. There’s no way to accurately call donations to Paul “overwhelming support” for him from the military given all of the outliers, like people who donate less than $1000 who don’t have to list their occupation, or the fact that Paulians are known to be devious enough to call themselves members of the military when they aren’t just to inflate the perception.<\/p>\n

Hey, Paulians, extrapolate this.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Someone dropped off this link in the comments the other day of my post about Ron … More on Ron Paul’s military support<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ron-paul"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28245\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}