{"id":17064,"date":"2010-01-28T14:45:51","date_gmt":"2010-01-28T19:45:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=17064"},"modified":"2010-01-28T14:45:51","modified_gmt":"2010-01-28T19:45:51","slug":"the-power-of-fearless-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=17064","title":{"rendered":"The Power of Fearless Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"excellent-mrburns2\"<\/p>\n

A few days ago I wrote that only three incumbent Democrats were \u201ctotally safe\u201d. Several among our astute loyalists took me to task for not including Wisconsin Socialist Russ Feingold on the safe list.<\/p>\n

LL went all Joe Namath on me:<\/p>\n

LL: I live in WI and I can guarantee you Feingold is safe.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Apparently Snowman has no respect for the Oracle of Anderson either:<\/p>\n

Snowman: Unfortunately, both Feingold and his dip-shit daddy Herb Kohl are safe here in Cheesehead land.
\nCOB, I\u2019m moving back to Texas!<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Even TSO denied me at the first sound of the morning rooster:<\/p>\n

TSO: YEah, Schumer, Feingold and Wyden all safe. Mikulski too I fear.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Scott Rasmussen <\/a>however refuses to discount the near miraculous power of the alcohol-induced seer that is COB.<\/p>\n

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in Wisconsin finds Republican Tommy Thompson edging incumbent Russ Feingold 47% to 43% in a hypothetical U.S. Senate match-up. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. <\/p>\n

Any incumbent who attracts less than 50% support at this point in a campaign is considered potentially vulnerable. <\/p>\n

Thompson leads by 10 points among male voters and breaks nearly even with Feingold among women. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

And here\u2019s the kicker:<\/p>\n

Voters not affiliated with either major party break for Thompson 53% to 36%. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

17 points among Independents! This is critical because it means that Feingold can\u2019t go all-in to appeal to his base.<\/p>\n

To repeat my point from the earlier post; this doesn\u2019t mean that Feingold will lose his seat but it does mean that it will likely be competitive and that means that Democrat coffers will suffer defending what was supposed to be safe seats making life even more difficult for any upstarts from purple states.<\/p>\n

Excellent my friends, excellent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A few days ago I wrote that only three incumbent Democrats were \u201ctotally safe\u201d. Several among … The Power of Fearless Predictions<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17064"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17064\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}