{"id":154564,"date":"2024-03-19T07:00:21","date_gmt":"2024-03-19T11:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=154564"},"modified":"2024-03-18T13:05:10","modified_gmt":"2024-03-18T17:05:10","slug":"taking-the-gaza-death-toll-for-granted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=154564","title":{"rendered":"Taking the Gaza death toll for granted"},"content":{"rendered":"

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It’s all over everyone’s feed – “Over 30,000 dead!”\u00a0 The Gaza Health Ministry has been trumpeting ever-rising number of casualties, mainly women and children, daily since Hamas kicked things of with a 1200 casualty attack on Israel. Even our politicians like Biden and Austin parrot it.<\/p>\n

Double-checking the data with independent verification will be impossible due to the lack of independent sources in Gaza. h<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Well, that isn’t too shocking. The almost metronomic casualty counts, however, are a major red flag. Any given date – 270 casualties, +\/- 15%… every day.\u00a0 Amazing how precise those IDF guys are – sounds like they run tighter quotas than Texas’ DPS. Oh, and 70% of the casualties are women and children.\u00a0 For verisimilitude\u00a0 the numbers of women and children float – one day more women killed, one day more kids – but their number seem to add up to that 70% bar.<\/p>\n

Amazingly predictable war, eh what?<\/p>\n

Most likely, the Hamas ministry settled on a daily total arbitrarily,” he concludes. “We know this because the daily totals increase too consistently to be real. Then they assigned about 70% of the total to be women and children, splitting that amount randomly from day to day. Then they in-filled the number of men as set by the predetermined total. This explains all the data observed.”<\/p>\n

“If these were just reporting errors, then on those days where the death count for men appears to be in error, the women\u2019s count should be typical, at least on average. But it turns out that on the three days when the men\u2019s count is near zero, suggesting an error, the women\u2019s count is high. In fact, the three highest daily women casualty counts occurs on those three days.”Jerusalem Post<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Credit for the number-crunching goes to P<\/span>rofessor Abraham Wyner A professor of Statistics and Data Science at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.<\/p>\n

He also highlights that by Hamas’s own admission, 6,000 Hamas fighters have been killed, which if combined with Hamas’s data on deaths, shows that 20% of the total deaths are combatant while 70% are women and children. This implies that “Israel is somehow not killing noncombatant men, or else Hamas is claiming that almost all the men in Gaza are Hamas fighters.”\u00a0 Jerusalem Post<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Not sure I would dispute that last. But here is a graphic representation.<\/p>\n

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Tablet<\/a><\/p>\n

I’m sure you combat vets can attest to every day having the exact same outcome and casualty counts.\u00a0 How interesting…a mathematically precise war. More likely mathematically precise bullshit.<\/p>\n

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It’s all over everyone’s feed – “Over 30,000 dead!”\u00a0 The Gaza Health Ministry has been trumpeting … Taking the Gaza death toll for granted<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":668,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[466],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-154564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/668"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=154564"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154564\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=154564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=154564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=154564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}