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For years, gun folks have been bombarded with “More guns means more crime! Even the CDC says so!”<\/p>\n
Well, not necessarily so. Not that we would ever doubt anything the CDC would say (ahem) but it seems in this case, while their basic facts are valid, they failed to parse them at a meaningful level according to a report published in the Journal of Surgical Research<\/em>, titled: \u201cLegal Firearm Sales at State Level and Rates of Violent Crime, Property Crime, and Homicides.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n National and state rates of crime and homicide during 1999-2015 were obtained from the United States Department of Justice and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Instant Criminal Background Check System background checks were used as a surrogate for lawful firearm sales. A general multiple linear regression<\/a> model using log event rates was used to assess the effect of firearm sales on crime and homicide rates. Additional modeling was then performed on a state basis using an autoregressive correlation structure with generalized estimating equation estimates for standard errors to adjust for the interdependence of variables year to year within a particular state.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n Science Direct.com<\/a><\/p>\n In other words, CDC used gun sales figures and put them up against crime rates and called it a day. This study broke the national sales down to the state level for a period 1999-2015 and compared them to comparable crime rates… and unsurprisingly, found no meaningful correlation. Seems if 5,000,000 guns are sold nationally and crime goes up 20%,\u00a0 while it LOOKS meaningful, if the guns are sold all over Texas and the Midwest and crime rises in New York and LA – your correlation goes in the crapper.<\/p>\n This was not an easy study to publish. One medical publication peer reviewed the team\u2019s findings and completed one round of edits but chose not to publish the work, because guns.<\/p>\n \u201cGetting this published was a tour de force,\u201d Hamill (Dr. Mark E. Hamill, a trauma surgeon at the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha, is one of the lead authors of the report – ed.) said. \u201cThere is so much bias in medical literature against guns.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n