{"id":103275,"date":"2020-08-05T12:00:37","date_gmt":"2020-08-05T16:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=103275"},"modified":"2020-08-04T21:13:59","modified_gmt":"2020-08-05T01:13:59","slug":"covid-19-update-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=103275","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_82032\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-82032\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-82032\" src=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Grackle-2-copy-copy-300x190.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"190\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Grackle-2-copy-copy-300x190.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Grackle-2-copy-copy-768x487.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Grackle-2-copy-copy-500x317.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Grackle-2-copy-copy.jpg 1234w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-82032\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stoopid Hoomans (snort!) We will feast on your carcasses!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Why are we having these panic attacks? Because someone told us to?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/659-human-death-toll-bird-flu-tops-100.html\">https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/659-human-death-toll-bird-flu-tops-100.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Oh, that\u2019s simple: you can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can\u2019t fool all of the people all of the time. The panic attacks generated by the news media over swine flu and bird flu in years past were at least as bad as they are now. Then ebola fever, an African disease transmitted to humans in Africa who eat bush meat such as bats, became a &#8220;thing&#8221; for the press to worry about. Then the undiscovered virus that was plaguing the southwestern regions was going to kill us all, but turned out to be a controllable virus, the Hanta virus carried by dormice and transmitted through their droppings. I don&#8217;t know how much press polio and diphtheria got in decades past, but I do know that Typhoid Mary Mallon was an asymptomatic carrier of typhoid fever because even though she was hired by families to clean and cook for them she never washed her hands before handling food.\u00a0 Out of the 53 people she infected, only 3\u00a0 of them died.<\/p>\n<p>In regard to the current disease that is being hammered into our sensibilities, it is a serious disorder. It is a respirator bug, and yes, it can kill you if your immune system is weak. But look at how many have had it and survived, and the low numbers in the daily reports, numbers which are dropping.<\/p>\n<p>Why is this current panic attack going on? Why is there so much attention given to it, and why are there so many arguments about its lethality?\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s about control, nothing else, and how simple-mindedly people will fall right in line on their way to a slaughterhouse like a bunch of steers at a meat packing plant.<\/p>\n<p>You don\u2019t think so?<\/p>\n<p>Statistics tell us otherwise. Real statistics, not gossip. The mortality rates are dropping. They have not yet reached the original projections, and it appears that those mortalities will NOT reach the projected levels.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2020\/08\/04\/npr-mounting-evidence-suggests-covid19-not-as-deadly-as-thought\/\">https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2020\/08\/04\/npr-mounting-evidence-suggests-covid19-not-as-deadly-as-thought\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Back\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2005\/sep\/30\/birdflu.jamessturcke\">in 2005<\/a>,\u00a0Ferguson claimed up to 200 million might die from the Avian flu, but in reality, only\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/659-human-death-toll-bird-flu-tops-100.html\">about 100 did<\/a>. In March 2020, Ferguson was\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/03\/20\/opinion\/sunday\/coronavirus-outcomes.html?searchResultPosition=1\">queried by\u00a0<em>The New York Times<\/em><\/a>\u00a0with the question: \u201cwhat the best-case scenario was for the US during the COVID pandemic?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAbout 1.1 million deaths,\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/03\/20\/opinion\/sunday\/coronavirus-outcomes.html?searchResultPosition=1\">he said<\/a>. So far, as of this writing (at 2020\/08\/04),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/cases-updates\/us-cases-deaths.html\">154,471 deaths have been recorded according to the CDC<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ferguson\u2019s model numbers overreached reality by\u00a0about\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/country\/us\/\">factor of ten<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>From the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2020\/05\/28\/863944333\/antibody-tests-point-to-lower-death-rate-for-the-coronavirus-than-first-thought?utm_campaign=npr&amp;utm_source=twitter.com&amp;utm_term=nprnews&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;fbclid=IwAR2pflAGc1mR2fl3-US8mWa85JdQfjx1Z2g3-b1WimYTuOXs-njO-sva1rc\">report<\/a>:\u00a0\u00a0Mounting evidence suggests the coronavirus is more common and less deadly than it first appeared.<\/p>\n<p>The evidence comes from tests that detect antibodies to the coronavirus in a person\u2019s blood rather than the virus itself.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The tests are finding large numbers of people in the US who were infected but <em>never became seriously ill<\/em>.<\/strong>\u00a0And when these mild infections are included in coronavirus statistics, the virus appears less dangerous.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe current best estimates for the infection fatality risk are between 0.5% and 1%,\u201d says\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.centerforhealthsecurity.org\/our-people\/rivers\/index.html\">Caitlin Rivers<\/a>, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s in contrast with death rates of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/coronavirus.jhu.edu\/data\/mortality\">5% or more<\/a>\u00a0based on calculations that included only people who got sick enough to be diagnosed with tests that detect the presence of virus in a person\u2019s body. &#8211; article<\/p>\n<p>More:\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/wmbriggs.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/us_weeklyalldead.part_.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1\">https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/wmbriggs.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/us_weeklyalldead.part_.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>That chart is more realistic than Fauci\u2019s predictions and ditto Fergusns\u2019s, and remarkably close to the same configuration as the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic. I don\u2019t know what their sources are, and don\u2019t intend to guess, but Ferguson&#8217;s estimate is far outside the Johns Hopkins report, as well as the CDC\u2019s expectations.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2020-05-05\/us-coronavirus-death-toll-predicted-to-overtake-trump-estimate\/12214448\">https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2020-05-05\/us-coronavirus-death-toll-predicted-to-overtake-trump-estimate\/12214448<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>USA Deaths from CV19 to date<\/strong>: 155,942 to date (8\/4\/2020)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Worldwide total mortalities<\/strong>: 695, 550 to date (8\/4\/2020)<\/p>\n<p>Source: <u>Johns Hopkins University , Center for Systems and Science Engineering<\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong>Comparison between flu and CV19: death rate<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Deaths:<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hopkinsmedicine.org\/health\/conditions-and-diseases\/coronavirus\/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu\">https:\/\/www.hopkinsmedicine.org\/health\/conditions-and-diseases\/coronavirus\/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>COVID-19<\/strong>:\u00a0There have been <u>approximately 694,715 deaths reported worldwide<\/u>. In the U.S, 155,478 people have died of COVID-19, as of August 4, 2020.<\/p>\n<p><strong>FLU:<\/strong>\u00a0The World Health Organization estimates that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/news-room\/detail\/11-03-2019-who-launches-new-global-influenza-strategy\">290,000 to 650,000 people die of flu-related causes<\/a>\u00a0every year worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>In the U.S., from Oct. 1, 2019 \u2013 Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that 24,000 to 62,000 people died from the flu. (The CDC does not know the exact number because the flu is not a reportable disease in most parts of the U.S.) Get your flu shot when it comes up this fall, for Pete&#8217;s sake. If you go to the local VA FHCC or clinice, it&#8217;s free. And yes, when people get together in bunches and are carrying the bug without realizing it, they can transmit it to someone else, the same way the common cold is transmitted.<\/p>\n<p>The conclusion one may personally draw depends on several things, including the capacity to not be intimidated by cheesy, overdone death rate estimates.\u00a0 I am not dismissing the disease or its morbidity rate (not the same as mortality), and when a vaccine becomes available, it&#8217;s probably wisest to get the vaxx ASAP.<\/p>\n<p>However, the panic-stricken attitude and the need to be on TV to spook more people is something that should be looked at. Fall is coming up before long. There won&#8217;t be a &#8220;boys of summer&#8221; game going on, unless somehow things get worked out. And schools, universities and even daycare centers are jonesing up for the seasonal gatherings.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is that we&#8217;re all used to having our freedom to go where we want to, when we want to, but there are enough people panicked about it to make your errands-running difficult. Take that into consideration when you go shopping. Most stores will do curbside pickups for stuff and grocery stores don&#8217;t mind if you place your order ahead. At some point, this episode of &#8220;scare the Hoomans to death&#8221; will be over and we&#8217;ll be told by the presstwits that we have to be scared to death by some other lethal bug, that turns out to be nothing worse than a cold.<\/p>\n<p>Remember the West Nile virus panics? Well, wear bug repellent on the trails and the mosquitoes will leave you alone. If your Avon lady still can get Skin So Soft for you, that knocks them out. I found that out a while back on an episode in a swamp in northern Wisconsin, while I was photographing wild irises.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t let the buggers (and their bugs) get you down.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why are we having these panic attacks? Because someone told us to? https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/659-human-death-toll-bird-flu-tops-100.html Oh, that\u2019s simple: &hellip; <a title=\"Covid-19 Update\" class=\"hm-read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/?p=103275\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Covid-19 Update<\/span>Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":653,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,213,484],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-floggings-will-continue-until-morale-improves","category-your-tax-dollars-at-work","category-covid-19"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/653"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=103275"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103294,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103275\/revisions\/103294"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=103275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=103275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.azuse.cloud\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=103275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}