Category: Foreign Policy

  • Former CIA Deputy Director: “The Arab Spring Was a Boon to Islamic Extremists”

    Now that he’s no longer in office, it appears that the former Deputy Director of the CIA – Michael ­Morell – has decided to make some money as an author.  He’s written a book about his career called The Great War of Our Time.  As you might guess from the title, it focuses largely on post-9/11 events.

    Here’s what he had to say about the “Arab Spring”. It explains quite a bit, actually.

    “We thought and told policy-makers that this outburst of popular revolt would damage al-Qaeda by undermining the group’s narrative. [Instead], the Arab Spring was a boon to Islamic extremists across both the Middle East and North Africa. From a counterterrorism perspective, the Arab Spring had turned to winter.”

    Yeah, that explains – at least in part – why we sat on our hands and watched while longstanding allies went down the tubes.  But it doesn’t explain why we “screwed the pooch” so badly on that call.

    I understand quite well that intel is not an exact science. But historically, whenever an authoritarian regime has collapsed, a temporary power vacuum is created. If there’s not someone immediately around to pick up the pieces, things get chaotic.

    Terrorist organizations do rather well in chaotic situations.  So I kinda wonder why we didn’t foresee the real possibility that the Arab Spring might create a chaotic situation that al Qaeda and its ideological brethren could exploit.

    Maybe it was as simple as a case of “telling the boss what he wanted to hear”. After all, when the boss makes it clear they only want to hear news with which they agree . . . well, that’s what they’ll get, true or not.

    That kinda seems to me to have been the case some 35+ years ago in Iran.  Maybe that’s what happened here too.

    The Washington Post has a reasonably good article about the guy’s book, and briefly covers a few other things he talks about in it as well. If you have a few spare minutes, the article might be worth a read.

  • Sharansky: When did America forget that it’s America?

    Sharansky: When did America forget that it’s America?

    Natan Sharansky, a former political prisoner of the old Soviet Union, writes in the Washington Post, “When did America forget that it’s America?” in regards to the way that the United States acted towards the Soviet Union during the latter years of the Cold War that resulted in the ultimate collapse of the Communist Empire. Sharansky compares that to the current administration’s negotiations with Iran.

    Even Jimmy Carter, with all of his faults, left human rights abuses in the Soviet Union on the table for negotiations. Sharansky himself benefited from the pressure the United States government put on the Soviet Union when he was released from the gulags, in February 1986, the first political prisoner to be released by the hand of Mikhail Gorbachev in the face of Ronald Reagan’s resolve on the issue. He had been imprisoned since 1977 when he was arrested for high treason – his crime was that he had passed along a list of 1300 refuseniks to the Western media.

    Sharansky writes in the Post;

    When American negotiations with the Soviets reached the issue of trade, and in particular the lifting of sanctions and the conferring of most-favored-nation status on the Soviet Union, the Senate, led by Democrat Henry Jackson, insisted on linking economic normalization to Moscow’s allowing freedom of emigration. By the next year, when the Helsinki agreement was signed, the White House had joined Congress in making the Soviets’ treatment of dissidents a central issue in nearly every negotiation.

    Iran’s dismal human rights record, by contrast, has gone entirely unmentioned in the recent negotiations. Sadly, America’s reticence is familiar: In 2009, in response to the democratic uprisings that mobilized so many Iranian citizens, President Obama declared that engaging the theocratic regime would take priority over changing it.

    Of course, that’s just one aspect of the failures of this administration in the Middle Eastern region, but probably the most dangerous to people living in the Middle East as well as the rest of the world – Iran’s clients, Hezbollah and the Houthis draw more of the countries into the circle of Iran’s control.

    The John Kerry-Barack Obama State Department is only too anxious to sign something, anything with the Iranians, they’ve given away the store in the process.

    Back to Sharansky;

    Imagine what would have happened if instead, after completing a round of negotiations over disarmament, the Soviet Union had declared that its right to expand communism across the continent was not up for discussion. This would have spelled the end of the talks. Yet today, Iran feels no need to tone down its rhetoric calling for the death of America and wiping Israel off the map.

    Because the politics of the agreements are more important than the contents. It’s better to have something, anything signed than nothing, no matter how poorly that something, anything serves any party in the agreement.

    The United States used to be the great defender of international human rights, creditable to Jimmy Carter in the modern era, but this administration has abandoned that tenet in favor of political expediency.

    You should stay out of the comments of the article since the antisemitism directed at Sharansky in particular and Israel, in general, is rampant. Apparently, it’s all the Jews fault that Iran wants to wipe them out. So, the propaganda from Tehran is still working the magic that the propaganda from Moscow on the same pointy-headed apologists that caused this mess.

  • About That Possible US-Iranian Nuclear “Deal” . . . .

    This headline hits the main point.  But it doesn’t tell the complete story.

    Khamenei calls ‘Death to America’ as
    Kerry hails progress on nuke deal
     

    For those who can’t place the name: “Khamenei” above refers  to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – Iran’s Supreme Leader.  In Iran, his opinion matters far more than that of the Iranian president.

    So, to recap:  the leader of Iran has just once again called called for America’s “death”. But irrespective of that fact, the current      DC clown krewe      Administration is still trying to give away the farm in a nuclear agreement with Iran – even though Iran considers us an enemy.

    Brilliant.  Just freaking brilliant.

    What’s more, it appears that even Europeans are getting worried that we’re giving away too much to get a deal. Hell, France is pushing for a much harder line on any Iranian deal than our own SECSTATE. Given France’s history and its pro-Arab and pro-Iranian bent over the last 2 decades or so, when your country is taking a more supine position than the French . . . something is seriously wrong.

    I really didn’t think it was possible for a US Administration to screw things up “by the numbers” in foreign policy worse than Carter’s gang of clowns and amateurs did back in the late 1970s. But I have to admit I was wrong.

    In foreign policy, this current Administration is clueless. Simply clueless.

  • Did the House act illegally in inviting Netanyahu?

    Did the House act illegally in inviting Netanyahu?

    That’s the headline on a National Constitution Center article today.

    Since the announcement of the invitation to Netanyahu in January, much has been said about the risks of a rupture in the relationship between the United States and Israel. Whatever may be said further about that, a constitutional precedent is being set in the House chamber that could lead to a rupture in how the two elected branches of the national government deal with the most sensitive of issues over global security.

    I don’t remember it being an issue when members of Congress told President Bush that “you’re not the boss of me”;

    Pelosi's Munich moment

    Syrian President Bashar al-Assad shakes hands with U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in Damascus

    John Kerry's Munich Moment

    I’m thinking that Pelosi and her delegation to Assad, and Senator John Kerry’s delegation to Syria probably did more to harm our relations in the region than inviting the Israeli Prime Minister to speak to Congress, especially when the figurehead of our government, our face overseas, refuses to meet with Benjamin Netanyahu because he wants his nation to survive in the face of Iranian nuclear weapons.

    There was no discussion about it when Pat Leahy was a mule for Cuban spy sperm from the US to the prisoner’s wife in Cuba. I’m not sure whether or not sperm samples are included in the embargo against Cuba, but I’m sure that facilitating the birth of yet another virtual prisoner into that vast prison yard is morally wrong on some level.

    But I guess Democrat Congress members have their own private Constitution that they get to live by without being questioned by the complicit press.

  • Plus ça change . . .

    . . . plus c’est la même chose.

    Russia Boosts Arms, Training for Leftist Latin Militaries

    Sounds kinda like “Back to the Future” to me. So, with apologies to Pete Townsend:

    Meet the new Rus
    Same as the old Rus

  • Think It Can’t Happen Here? Think Again.

    Well, you’d be wrong – it already does, albeit thankfully only fairly rarely. And this latest incident in Detroit provides yet another example.

    A man asked two people whether they were Muslims before stabbing them at a Southfield bus stop on Saturday, the victims told police.

    We already have some radical Islamists among us today. And with the current      naïve DC clown krewe’s      Administration’s proposal to quadruple the number of refugees from Syria admitted to the US, we’ll almost certainly only see more such incidents.

    Sheesh.  We seriously need some adult leadership in DC.

     

    (Note:   first link has been updated with a story providing more details.) 

  • Previewing our post draw down world?

    NPR is reporting that with the increasing levels of escalation by Russia that countries in Europe are finding their military forces wanting.

    Last month a Russian military aircraft flying in stealth nearly crashed into a commercial passenger plane taking off from Copenhagen. In April, Russian fighter jets carried out a simulated bombing raid on Stockholm. And nobody seems able to do anything about it.

    Why you ask?

    “The army has been reduced by 90 percent, from approximately half a million men to, today, 50,000 [troops] including the home guard, 25,000 if you just count the regulars,” he says.The story is similarly dramatic with the navy — which has been scaled back by some 80 percent — and the air force, which has slimmed down by 70 percent, according to Neretnieks.

    The line that caught my eye and should be read over and over.

    “Europe as a whole, of course, downsized their forces,” he says. “We tend to forget that things can change quicker than we thought.” “I’ve been in the armed forces since the early ’70s, and I’ve only experienced reductions,” he says.

  • Yeah, We’re Really Succeeding in Reining In NORKLand

    By now, everyone’s heard the response of the      feckless fool ‘s festival in DC    current Administration to North Korea’s alleged cyber attack on Sony Pictures.  They’ve got to stand up for their most reliable political supporters, I guess.

    But just how well has the current     clueless DC clown krewe     handled North Korea’s nuclear program? Based on recent reporting by Bloomberg.com, not so well.

    North Korea has pretty much told the world to go pound sand regarding the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty for years. It has continued its nuclear weapons development programs with hardly a break in stride for the last several years.

    Just how bad has this administration fumbled this? Well, the low-end estimate is that North Korea will possess enough enriched uranium and/or weapons-grade plutonium in about 5 years to fabricate 33 nuclear weapons. The high-end estimate? They’ll have enough material for nearly 80 – 79, to be precise.

    Yeah, the NORKS produce some pretty lousy nukes.  But while 5 to 10 kT isn’t exactly the second coming of the Big Bang, it’s not exactly a firecracker either.

    This article has more details. It’s worth reading.

    I guess we should be glad that the current Administration is such a big fan of missile defense, and has devoted so much time/effort/money into developing same.   And yes – for anyone who didn’t catch it, that last sentence was indeed pure sarcasm.